538 2024 Polls. 538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing democrat joe biden’s and republican donald trump’s chances of winning. Based on new york times/siena college polls of 872 voters in pennsylvania conducted from july 9 to 11, 2024, and 661 voters in virginia conducted from july 9 to 12, 2024.
Data for fivethirtyeight’s previous favorability, presidential approval. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for biden or trump, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases:
Get Caught Up On The Most Important Polling For The Most Consequential Races Of 2024.
July 21, 2024 at 10:23 p.m.
Updating Average For Each Candidate In 2024 Presidential Polls, Accounting For Each Poll's Recency, Sample Size, Methodology And House Effects.
National polls of the 2024 republican.
538 2024 Polls Images References :
Data For Fivethirtyeight's Previous Favorability, Presidential Approval.
The most recent polls for the 2024 presidential election.
Light (60%+), Medium (75%+), Dark (98%+).
Data for fivethirtyeight’s previous favorability, presidential approval.
